Marubozu
A candle with a full body and little or no wick — one side controlled the entire session, a sign of strong conviction.
Marubozu means 'bald' in Japanese: the candle has no shadows because price opened at one extreme and closed at the other. A bullish marubozu opens at the low and closes at the high; a bearish one opens at the high and closes at the low.
It signals decisive, one-directional pressure and often appears at the start of a strong move or on a breakout. The longer the body relative to recent candles, the stronger the message.
How it has actually played out
- Bullish Marubozu: across 4,565 signals on US stocks in the last 150 days, price was higher a week later 43.5% of the time (-1.4 pts vs. an ordinary session) and higher a month later 40.9% (-0.1 pts).
- Bearish Marubozu: across 4,315 signals on US stocks in the last 150 days, price was lower a week later 56.3% of the time (+2.1 pts vs. an ordinary session) and lower a month later 62.9% (+4.3 pts).
Measured from the signal-day close, no stops or costs, versus every session of the same stocks over the same window. A base rate, not a prediction.
On StockSetups
A bullish marubozu on a breakout day strengthens the read on a StockSetups setup, where candlestick conviction is one input alongside the chart pattern and volume.
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